Arenas de Armilla vs CD Huracán Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
12º
10º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 0
ARE
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 1
MAL
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 0
CDM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 2
ARE
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 1
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Huracán Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 2
CDT
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHM
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 3
HUE
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
CHM
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 0
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |