Ards FC vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 2
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
KNO
2 - 2
ARD
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
NEY
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |