Ards FC vs Newington Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
ARD
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
ARD
37%
22%
41%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 3
ARD
67%
17%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARD
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
5 - 1
ARD
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newington Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
NEY
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NEY
3 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
5 - 4
NEY
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NEY
1 - 1
KNO
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |