Ards FC vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AUN
2 - 3
ARD
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CLI
3 - 2
ARD
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 3
DOL
63%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARD
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
DOL
1 - 1
LOU
23%
21%
56%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 3
LIN
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
WAR
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |