Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 6
ARD
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
ARD
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 0
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
0 - 2
ARD
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 0
ARC
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 1
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 1
INS
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |