Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARD
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARD
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
POR
4 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
BMF
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
LIM
5 - 1
INS
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |