Ards FC vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
83.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
WAR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
3 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 3
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
CLI
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |