Ardennen vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
EEG
2 - 2
ARD
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARD
4 - 0
KKK
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LOC
2 - 2
ARD
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARD
3 - 1
BAM
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARD
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MER
3 - 0
RCL
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
WET
1 - 3
MER
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MER
1 - 2
EEN
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 2
MER
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |