Ardagger vs Waidhofen / Thaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
1º
30
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 1
ARD
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 0
SCO
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
KOT
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SVR
0 - 0
ARD
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Waidhofen / Thaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 0
LAN
29%
24%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
WAI
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
WAI
2 - 1
SVH
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
WAI
3 - 2
SCO
28%
25%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
KOT
2 - 1
WAI
67%
20%
13%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |