Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
1º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
KOT
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SVR
0 - 0
ARD
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
ZWE
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
7 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
WAI
3 - 2
SCO
28%
25%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 1
SCO
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SCO
3 - 0
SVH
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 0
LAN
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KOT
0 - 1
SCO
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |