Arcos CF vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARC
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
BET
2 - 0
ARC
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 0
ARC
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
ARC
2 - 3
BET
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDA
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
ALC
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
CDG
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |