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Serie D. Group A, Matchday 19

Arconatese vs Vado FC analysis

Arconatese Vado FC
22 ELO 21
50% Tilt -11%
6730º General ELO ranking 7046º
246º Country ELO ranking 268º
ELO win probability
64.2%
Arconatese
20.2%
Draw
15.6%
Vado FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
Arconatese
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
Vado FC
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arconatese
+25%
-21%
Vado FC

Points and table prediction

Arconatese
Their league position
Vado FC
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
10º
18º
14º
26
10º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gozzano
78
78
100%
Castellanzese
71
71
100%
PDHAE
70
70
100%
AS Bra
69
69
100%
Sanremese
65
65
100%
AC Legnano
64
64
100%
Sestri Levante
60
60
100%
Folgore Caratese
57
57
100%
Lavagnese
56
56
100%
Caronnese
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Imperia
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Casale
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Derthona
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Arconatese
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Chieri
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Città di Varese
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Saluzzo
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Fossano Calcio
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Borgosesia
19º
30
30
19º
100%
Vado FC
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arconatese
Vado FC
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Arconatese
ARC
Vado FC
VFC
AC Legnano
UNI
Castellanzese
CAS
Gozzano
GOZ
Fossano Calcio
FOS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ARC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2021
CAS
Casale
1 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
44%
27%
29%
279 184 -95 0
31 Jan. 2021
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 1
Fossano Calcio
FOS
45%
27%
28%
279 267 12 0
27 Jan. 2021
ARC
Arconatese
2 - 1
Borgosesia
BOR
47%
27%
26%
278 225 53 +1
24 Jan. 2021
PRO
Imperia
2 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
45%
27%
28%
280 291 11 -2
20 Jan. 2021
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 4
Folgore Caratese
FOL
47%
27%
26%
283 198 85 -3

Matches

Vado FC
Vado FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO VFC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2021
VFC
Vado FC
4 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
45%
27%
28%
272 266 6 +2
31 Jan. 2021
UNI
AC Legnano
2 - 1
Vado FC
VFC
45%
27%
28%
273 269 -4 -1
24 Jan. 2021
VFC
Vado FC
1 - 3
Casale
CAS
47%
27%
26%
276 182 94 -2
20 Jan. 2021
SAN
Sanremese
1 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
45%
27%
28%
277 295 18 -1
17 Jan. 2021
FOS
Fossano Calcio
2 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
45%
27%
27%
279 266 -13 -2