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Serie D. Group A, Matchday 33

Arconatese Sestri Levante
21 ELO 17
22% Tilt 5%
4933º General ELO ranking 5805º
204º Country ELO ranking 251º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Arconatese
23.7%
Draw
22.8%
Sestri Levante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
Arconatese
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
Sestri Levante
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arconatese
+4%
+30%
Sestri Levante

Points and table prediction

Arconatese
Their league position
Sestri Levante
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
18º
14º
59
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gozzano
75
79
100%
AS Bra
68
71
28%
Castellanzese 1921
68
72
18%
Real Pont Donnaz
67
70
41%
Sanremo
62
65
56%
AC Legnano
60
63
44%
Sestri Levante
59
62
47%
Folgore Caratese
57
59
85%
Caronnese
50
53
10º
50%
Lavagnese
10º
50
54
49%
Casale
11º
47
49
11º
72%
Pro Imperia
12º
45
47
12º
42%
Chieri
13º
44
47
13º
44%
Derthona
14º
41
43
15º
35%
Arconatese
15º
41
44
14º
34%
Città di Varese
16º
39
42
16º
62%
Saluzzo
17º
33
35
17º
99%
Fossano Calcio
18º
29
31
18º
74%
Borgosesia
19º
27
29
19º
53%
Vado FC
20º
25
27
20º
78%
Expected probabilities
Arconatese
Sestri Levante
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 10%
Mid-table
46% 90%
Relegation playoffs
54% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sestri Levante
SES
Arconatese
ARC
Castellanzese 1921
CAS
Folgore Caratese
FOL
Casale
CAS
Sanremo
SAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ARC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
PDH
Real Pont Donnaz
2 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
47%
27%
26%
275 308 33 -2
14 Apr. 2021
ARC
Arconatese
0 - 0
AS Bra
ASD
41%
28%
31%
275 341 -66 0
10 Apr. 2021
DER
Derthona
3 - 0
Arconatese
ARC
42%
28%
31%
278 144 -134 -3
01 Apr. 2021
ARC
Arconatese
2 - 1
Saluzzo
ACS
46%
27%
27%
277 284 -7 +1
27 Mar. 2021
BOR
Borgosesia
1 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
41%
28%
31%
277 216 -61 0

Matches

Sestri Levante
Sestri Levante
1%
X%
2%
ELO SES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
SES
Sestri Levante
0 - 2
AC Legnano
UNI
46%
27%
28%
238 271 -33 -2
14 Apr. 2021
VFC
Vado FC
4 - 3
Sestri Levante
SES
47%
27%
26%
240 264 24 -1
10 Apr. 2021
SES
Sestri Levante
3 - 1
Casale
CAS
47%
27%
26%
238 189 49 +2
01 Apr. 2021
FOL
Folgore Caratese
1 - 0
Sestri Levante
SES
46%
27%
28%
239 206 -33 -1
28 Mar. 2021
SES
Sestri Levante
3 - 0
Fossano Calcio
FOS
46%
27%
27%
237 253 -16 +3