Arconatese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARC
72%
17%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 3
CHI
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 2
ARC
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARC
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 0
UNI
30%
21%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 2
LAV
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
GOZ
25%
28%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GOZ
3 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 2
GOZ
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |