ARC Alphense vs Zuidvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LES
2 - 4
ARC
9%
16%
76%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ARC
0 - 0
EEM
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CSW
0 - 2
ARC
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARC
4 - 1
DOV
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +6 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Zuidvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ZUI
4 - 0
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ZUI
2 - 1
LES
85%
11%
5%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EEM
2 - 2
ZUI
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ZUI
1 - 3
ZWA
41%
24%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 3
ZUI
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |