ARC Alphense vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 2
ARC
10%
17%
73%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 2
FCS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 1
ARC
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
4 - 2
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 2
SCF
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DHS
1 - 2
SMI
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
SPI
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 3
SMI
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 3
CAP
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |