ARC Alphense vs Rijnvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 0
CAP
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 12
ARC
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
SMI
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 2
ARC
10%
17%
73%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 2
FCS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Rijnvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
RIJ
2 - 3
SMI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
RIJ
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 4
RIJ
7%
14%
79%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RIJ
2 - 1
VVS
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 10
RIJ
9%
16%
76%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |