ARC Alphense vs BOL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 3
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 0
AFC
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 0
ARC
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 2
DHS
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AAL
2 - 4
ARC
16%
18%
67%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 4
DHS
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ZWA
3 - 1
BOL
47%
21%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 2
AAL
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HCF
1 - 3
BOL
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 3
ARG
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |