ARC Alphense vs Aalsmeer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ARC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
TEW
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CSW
2 - 2
ARC
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 3
HED
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FSP
3 - 1
ARC
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Aalsmeer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AAL
1 - 2
HED
32%
23%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AAL
1 - 2
XER
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
AAL
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
AAL
0 - 0
FSP
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CSW
3 - 1
AAL
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |