Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
ARB
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
ARB
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
83%
13%
4%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FAL
1 - 2
ARB
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 1
DUN
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CWB
1 - 1
MON
8%
17%
76%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
STM
14%
19%
68%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MON
5 - 2
CIV
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 3
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |