Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 4
STJ
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 0
EAS
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ELG
0 - 1
ARB
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARB
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ELG
1 - 3
KHE
47%
22%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KHE
3 - 0
EAS
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
KHE
0 - 1
DUN
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
KHE
1 - 1
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
KHE
2 - 3
STR
53%
22%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |