Arbroath vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ARB
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 2
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
ELG
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 5
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 2
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
THE
1 - 3
QUE
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WHI
0 - 1
THE
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 2
THE
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
BLA
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
THE
1 - 0
CLY
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |