Arbroath vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 1
ARB
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
EAS
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CLY
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARB
3 - 0
THE
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
CLY
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THE
0 - 0
BER
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
ELG
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |