Second Division round 9

Arbroath vs Airdrieonians analysis

Arbroath Airdrieonians
48 ELO 43
8.6% Tilt 16.6%
3831º General ELO ranking 1482º
41º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
58%
Arbroath
21%
Draw
21%
Airdrieonians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21%
Win probability
Airdrieonians
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+5%
-25%
Airdrieonians

ELO progression

Arbroath
Airdrieonians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2013
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
45%
22%
33%
48 44 4 0
28 Sep. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
50%
23%
28%
47 47 0 +1
21 Sep. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 4
Stenhousemuir
STE
36%
25%
39%
48 53 5 -1
14 Sep. 2013
GLA
Rangers
5 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
81%
14%
6%
48 71 23 0
31 Aug. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
42%
25%
33%
48 51 3 0

Matches

Airdrieonians
Airdrieonians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2013
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
40%
23%
36%
42 50 8 0
28 Sep. 2013
EAS
East Fife
1 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
42%
23%
35%
43 38 5 -1
21 Sep. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
71%
17%
12%
44 53 9 -1
14 Sep. 2013
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 2
Stranraer
STR
58%
21%
22%
43 44 1 +1
31 Aug. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
61%
20%
19%
43 47 4 0