Arbroath vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STE
1 - 3
ARB
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
4 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 0
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 3
STE
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
AIR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
4 - 1
STI
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 3
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |