Erbil vs Duhok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
HUD
1 - 0
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ARB
4 - 1
BAG
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ARB
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 5
ARB
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 1
NSC
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Duhok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DUH
1 - 1
ALK
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
DUH
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DUH
2 - 1
KAR
49%
27%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 3
DUH
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NAB
2 - 0
DUH
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |