Araripina FC vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
ACA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 2
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
YPI
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
4 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
YPI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
SAN
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |