Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Ararat Yerevan vs West Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 0
FCL
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
ARA
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
VAN
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
AVA
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PYU
1 - 3
WAR
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
ARA
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
3 - 1
BAN
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LER
1 - 4
WAR
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
WAR
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |