Arar vs Alhowra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAH
1 - 1
AFC
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
WEG
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALJ
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
TFC
3 - 0
AFC
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alhowra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
TFC
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
AQS
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ASB
2 - 2
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
JRS
1 - 0
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
SAH
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | +1 |