Arar vs Al Khlood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+32%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 50% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 50% | 100% |
ELO progression
ALK
AFC
AAC
ALD
ALD
ALO
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO AFC | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
AAC
1 - 2
AFC
46%
27%
27%
|
156 | 144 | -12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALR
41%
28%
31%
|
156 | 213 | -57 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALS
47%
27%
26%
|
156 | 116 | 40 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALQ
3 - 2
AFC
45%
27%
28%
|
157 | 164 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ALO
0 - 0
AFC
46%
27%
26%
|
157 | 214 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Al Khlood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ALK | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALR
41%
28%
31%
|
157 | 213 | -56 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALK
46%
27%
28%
|
158 | 117 | -41 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALQ
46%
27%
27%
|
158 | 165 | -7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALO
6 - 3
ALK
46%
27%
26%
|
159 | 214 | 55 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
0 - 0
ALD
47%
27%
26%
|
159 | 109 | 50 | 0 |