Arar vs Al-Diriyah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ALH
1 - 2
AFC
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ALR
0 - 1
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 0
ALD
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
1 - 1
AFC
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Diriyah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALR
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
3 - 1
ALS
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ALQ
0 - 3
ALD
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ALO
0 - 1
ALD
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
AAC
0 - 0
ALD
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |