Arapongas vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
MIR
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 3
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MET
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 3
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |