Araguacema vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguacema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
INT
4 - 0
ARA
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
GUR
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +5 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
3 - 1
INT
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
1 - 1
CAP
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TMI
0 - 3
PAL
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
TMI
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
TMI
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |