Araguacema vs Nova Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguacema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
INT
4 - 0
ARA
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
GUR
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +5 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 2
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 3
NCO
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 0
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NCO
0 - 5
PAL
12%
18%
71%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NCO
1 - 2
TOC
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |