Aragua FC vs Zulia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
APC
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
TAC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ZAM
4 - 1
ZUL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 1
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |