Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
MIN
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 0
ARA
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 2
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ZUL
0 - 0
TRU
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRU
2 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
TRU
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |