Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
MET
25%
30%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
21%
28%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
DEP
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |