Aragua FC vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
GRE
8 - 0
ARA
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 1
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
GVA
66%
23%
11%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
EQU
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
EQU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |