Aragua FC vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
ARA
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZAM
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
ARA
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
ARA
28%
29%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAC
5 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
2 - 2
ZUL
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 1
TAC
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |