Aragua FC vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
YAR
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZUL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 3
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ZUL
3 - 2
TAC
41%
28%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 1
TAC
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |