Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
49.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARA
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 6
GRE
9%
24%
67%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
APC
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AME
3 - 1
DEP
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
GVA
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 1
CCP
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |