Árabe Unido vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TAU
2 - 1
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
TAU
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COS
0 - 0
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
IND
0 - 3
TAU
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |