Árabe Unido II vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
7º
4º
13
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEN
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
2 - 1
SMA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDP
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
SMA
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TFC
6 - 0
SMA
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |