Aprilia vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
APR
1 - 0
GIU
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
APR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 2
APR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
3 - 0
VAS
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
ASD
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 2
PIN
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 1
PIN
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PIN
3 - 1
OLY
74%
17%
8%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |