Aprilia vs Team Nuova Florida analysis


33	ELO	30
-0.1%	Tilt	-12.2%
19573º	General ELO ranking	9108º
500º	Country ELO ranking	303º
ELO win probability

55.6%

Aprilia

20%

Draw

24.4%

Team Nuova Florida

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

55.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%

20%

Draw

0-0

2.4%

1-1

8%

2-2

6.6%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

20%

24.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+8%

-46%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aprilia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Aug. 2019	LAT 2 - 3 APR 61% 22% 17%	32	39	7	0
08 Aug. 2019	APR 5 - 0 ASD 83% 11% 6%	32	7	25	0
05 May. 2019	APR 2 - 3 SSC 32% 22% 46%	32	39	7	0
27 Apr. 2019	CAS 3 - 1 APR 24% 23% 54%	34	23	11	-2
18 Apr. 2019	APR 4 - 2 MON 40% 24% 36%	33	37	4	+1