Aprilia vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
REC
1 - 4
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
APR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
APR
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
APR
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CYN
0 - 0
APR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
MAT
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
OLY
80%
13%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
MAT
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
RIE
37%
22%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |