APR FC vs Étoile de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
APR
1 - 0
ETI
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MUK
0 - 2
APR
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
APR
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APR
1 - 0
SUN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APR
5 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Étoile de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
EDE
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
EDE
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
EDE
0 - 1
RAY
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETI
1 - 1
EDE
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EDE
0 - 2
MUK
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |