Appalachian vs Georgia Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Appalachian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAL
2 - 2
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
GSS
56%
20%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
AFC
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GER
2 - 4
AFC
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
GSS
2 - 1
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Georgia Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
GSS
0 - 5
GER
52%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GER
4 - 0
LSA
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GER
2 - 4
AFC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SSS
3 - 1
GER
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |