Apolonia Fier vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
11º
7º
46
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
KUK
14%
18%
68%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
APO
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
BES
1 - 2
APO
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
KFS
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
TOM
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 2
BES
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
BUR
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
KFS
1 - 1
FLA
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |