APOEL vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ERM
0 - 0
APO
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
SLI
1 - 0
APO
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
APO
2 - 2
ZRI
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ENO
0 - 2
APO
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
KAI
1 - 4
APO
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PAP
1 - 0
NEA
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
PAP
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAP
2 - 2
ETH
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
AYI
1 - 5
PAP
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
APO
1 - 0
PAP
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |